Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 September 2020 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
15 to 19 Sep 2020
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne26.0%+5.0
  • CDU22.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%-5.0
  • Linke15.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Apr 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 Sep 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Apr 2020, Grüne gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 7.0 points higher and Linke 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +7.0average 19.0
  • Linke -3.0average 18.0
  • AfD -2.0average 12.0
  • CDU +1.0average 21.0
  • SPD -1.0average 16.0
  • FDP +1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 36 seatsCDU: 30 seatsSPD: 21 seatsLinke: 21 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne36
  • CDU30
  • SPD21
  • Linke21
  • AfD14
  • FDP8
  • Grüne + CDU66 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke78 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke72 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD71 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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