Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 29 April 2020 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
22 to 25 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU23.0%+5.0
  • Grüne21.0%-2.0
  • SPD20.0%+4.0
  • Linke14.0%-3.0
  • AfD10.0%-4.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Nov 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 23.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Nov 2019, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 6.0 points higher and SPD 5.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +6.0average 17.0
  • SPD +5.0average 15.0
  • Linke -4.0average 18.0
  • Grüne -3.0average 24.0
  • AfD -2.0average 12.0
  • FDP -1.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 32 seatsGrüne: 29 seatsSPD: 28 seatsLinke: 20 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU32
  • Grüne29
  • SPD28
  • Linke20
  • AfD14
  • FDP7
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD89 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke81 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke80 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke77 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD74 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP68 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP67 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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