Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 November 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
11 to 16 Nov 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne23.0%±0
  • CDU18.0%+1.0
  • Linke17.0%-2.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%+4.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 May 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 May 2019, AfD gains 4.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.5 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.5average 24.5
  • AfD +1.5average 12.5
  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • CDU +0.5average 17.5
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • Linke ±0average 17.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 32 seatsCDU: 25 seatsLinke: 24 seatsSPD: 22 seatsAfD: 20 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne32
  • CDU25
  • Linke24
  • SPD22
  • AfD20
  • FDP7
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke81 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD79 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + SPD78 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD77 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD76 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + SPD71 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD69 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD67 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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