Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 8 May 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
30 Apr 2019 to 4 May 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne23.0%-1.0
  • Linke19.0%+1.0
  • CDU17.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-3.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others10.0%+4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Nov 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 23.0%, followed by Linke on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2019 to 4 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Nov 2018, AfD loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 2.0 points lower and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.0average 8.0
  • AfD -1.5average 11.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 22.0
  • CDU -1.0average 18.0
  • SPD -1.0average 16.0
  • Linke +0.5average 18.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 33 seatsLinke: 27 seatsCDU: 25 seatsSPD: 22 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne33
  • Linke27
  • CDU25
  • SPD22
  • AfD14
  • FDP9
  • Grüne + Linke + CDU85 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + SPD82 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD80 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD74 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + SPD74 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD72 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + FDP69 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD69 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP67 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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