Infratest dimap poll of 21 November 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne24.0%+9.0
- Linke18.0%-4.0
- CDU18.0%-3.0
- SPD15.0%-3.0
- AfD13.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 24.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2018, Grüne gains 9.0 points, Linke loses 4.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.7 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.7average 19.3
- SPD -1.5average 16.5
- Linke -1.1average 19.1
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- CDU +0.7average 17.3
- AfD -0.5average 13.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne33
- Linke25
- CDU25
- SPD21
- AfD18
- FDP8
- Grüne + Linke + CDU83 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD79 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD79 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD76 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD76 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD71 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP66 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.