Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2018 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
9 to 12 May 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • Linke22.0%+3.0
  • CDU21.0%-2.0
  • SPD18.0%-3.0
  • Grüne15.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Linke ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2017, Linke gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 3.1 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +3.1average 18.9
  • Grüne -2.5average 17.5
  • FDP -1.6average 7.6
  • CDU +1.5average 19.5
  • AfD -1.0average 12.0
  • SPD -0.2average 18.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Linke: 31 seatsCDU: 29 seatsSPD: 25 seatsGrüne: 21 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Linke31
  • CDU29
  • SPD25
  • Grüne21
  • AfD15
  • FDP9
  • Linke + CDU + SPD85 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne81 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + Grüne77 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + AfD75 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne75 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + AfD71 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + FDP69 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 130
  • Linke + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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