Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 16 June 2021 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
RBB / Berliner Morgenpost
Fieldwork period
9 to 14 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,198
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne22.0%-5.0
  • CDU21.0%+3.0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%-2.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Apr 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,198 people were surveyed from 9 to 14 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by RBB / Berliner Morgenpost.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Apr 2021, Grüne loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.7 points higher and SPD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +5.7average 15.3
  • SPD -2.5average 19.5
  • AfD -1.5average 11.5
  • Grüne -1.3average 23.3
  • Linke -1.0average 13.0
  • FDP -1.0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 32 seatsCDU: 30 seatsSPD: 24 seatsLinke: 17 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 13 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne32
  • CDU30
  • SPD24
  • Linke17
  • AfD14
  • FDP13
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD86 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke79 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD76 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP75 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke73 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke71 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD70 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP69 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD68 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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