Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 September 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Linke23.0%+12.0
- CDU21.0%-4.0
- AfD17.0%+7.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- SPD10.0%-11.0
- BSW3.0%
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Feb 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Feb 2023, Linke gains 12.0 points, SPD loses 11.0 points, AfD gains 7.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 3.0 points lower and Linke 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.0average 13.0
- Linke +2.5average 20.5
- CDU +1.7average 19.3
- AfD -1.0average 18.0
- BSW -0.8average 3.8
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke34
- CDU31
- AfD26
- Grüne24
- SPD15
- Linke + CDU + AfD91 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne89 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne84 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD80 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD75 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD73 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD72 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.