Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 February 2023 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
8 to 9 Feb 2023
Respondents
1,059
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU25.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Feb 2023.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,059 people were surveyed from 8 to 9 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Feb 2023, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.4average 18.6
  • Grüne -1.4average 18.4
  • Linke -1.1average 12.1
  • CDU +0.8average 24.2
  • AfD -0.5average 10.5
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 36 seatsSPD: 30 seatsGrüne: 25 seatsLinke: 16 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU36
  • SPD30
  • Grüne25
  • Linke16
  • AfD14
  • FDP9
  • CDU + SPD66 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke77 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke71 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP70 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD69 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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