Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 February 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2023 to 2 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,151
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU24.0%+7.0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Sep 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,151 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2023 to 2 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Sep 2021, CDU gains 7.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.4average 19.6
- Grüne -1.3average 19.3
- CDU +1.1average 22.9
- Linke -1.1average 12.1
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU35
- SPD30
- Grüne26
- Linke16
- AfD14
- FDP9
- CDU + SPD + Grüne91 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD79 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke77 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP74 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke72 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP70 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.