Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 September 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,611
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Linke22.0%-1.0
- CDU20.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%+2.0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Sep 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,611 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Sep 2026, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.0average 21.0
- Grüne -1.0average 16.0
- CDU +0.5average 19.5
- BSW -0.3average 4.3
- AfD ±0average 18.0
- SPD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke33
- CDU30
- AfD27
- Grüne22
- SPD18
- Linke + CDU + AfD90 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne85 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne82 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne79 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD78 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD75 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD73 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD70 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + SPD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.