Forsa poll of 5 February 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2023 to 3 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU26.0%+9.0
- Grüne18.0%-3.0
- SPD17.0%-4.0
- Linke12.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Others12.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Aug 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2023 to 3 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Aug 2021, CDU gains 9.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 3.0 points higher and SPD 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.0average 23.0
- SPD -2.8average 19.8
- FDP -1.1average 6.1
- Grüne -0.8average 18.8
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- Linke +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU38
- Grüne27
- SPD25
- Linke18
- AfD15
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne + SPD90 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD80 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD78 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP72 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD71 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP70 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke70 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.