Forsa poll of 22 August 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- t-online
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 18 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,535
- Method
- Online
- Linke22.0%+10.0
- AfD18.0%+8.0
- CDU18.0%-8.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- SPD12.0%-5.0
- BSW4.0%
- FDP3.0%-2.0
- Others7.0%-5.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Feb 2023.
In this poll Forsa has Linke ahead on 22.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,535 people were surveyed from 4 to 18 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by t-online.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Feb 2023, Linke gains 10.0 points, AfD gains 8.0 points, CDU loses 8.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.7average 19.7
- Linke +1.3average 20.7
- AfD +1.0average 17.0
- SPD -1.0average 13.0
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- Grüne -0.7average 16.7
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke34
- AfD27
- CDU27
- Grüne24
- SPD18
- Linke + AfD + CDU88 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne85 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne85 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD79 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD79 of 130
- AfD + CDU + Grüne78 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD76 of 130
- AfD + CDU + SPD72 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + SPD69 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD69 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.