Forsa poll of 13 August 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Hauptstadtbrief
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 10 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD21.0%+6.0
- Grüne21.0%-4.0
- CDU17.0%+1.0
- Linke14.0%-3.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Feb 2020.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Der Hauptstadtbrief.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Feb 2020, SPD gains 6.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.9average 8.9
- CDU -1.4average 18.4
- SPD +1.1average 19.9
- Grüne +1.0average 20.0
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- Linke +0.3average 13.7
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD30
- Grüne30
- CDU25
- Linke20
- AfD15
- FDP10
- SPD + Grüne + CDU85 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke80 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke75 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke75 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP70 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD70 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.