Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 November 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
22 to 31 Oct 2019
Respondents
1,008
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne25.0%+1.0
  • CDU18.0%+1.0
  • Linke16.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Oct 2019.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 22 to 31 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Oct 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.0average 14.0
  • Linke -2.0average 18.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 24.0
  • CDU +1.0average 17.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 36 seatsCDU: 26 seatsLinke: 23 seatsSPD: 22 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne36
  • CDU26
  • Linke23
  • SPD22
  • AfD16
  • FDP7
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke85 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD84 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + SPD81 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD78 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD75 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + SPD71 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP69 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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