Single poll

Forsa poll of 3 December 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
21 to 28 Nov 2019
Respondents
1,006
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne24.0%-1.0
  • Linke17.0%+1.0
  • CDU17.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Nov 2019.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 24.0%, followed by Linke on 17.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Nov 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.0average 14.0
  • Grüne +0.5average 23.5
  • Linke -0.5average 17.5
  • CDU -0.5average 17.5
  • SPD +0.5average 15.5
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 35 seatsLinke: 25 seatsCDU: 24 seatsSPD: 23 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne35
  • Linke25
  • CDU24
  • SPD23
  • AfD16
  • FDP7
  • Grüne + Linke + CDU84 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + SPD83 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD82 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD76 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD75 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + SPD72 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + FDP67 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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