Single poll

Forsa poll of 2 October 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
17 to 26 Sep 2019
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne24.0%±0
  • CDU17.0%+1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Linke16.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Aug 2019.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU on 17.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 17 to 26 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Aug 2019, CDU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.0average 14.0
  • Linke -2.0average 18.0
  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • Grüne ±0average 24.0
  • CDU ±0average 17.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 35 seatsCDU: 24 seatsSPD: 23 seatsLinke: 23 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne35
  • CDU24
  • SPD23
  • Linke23
  • AfD16
  • FDP9
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD82 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke82 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke81 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD75 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD74 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke70 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP68 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP67 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + FDP67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.