Single poll

Forsa poll of 31 August 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
20 to 29 Aug 2019
Respondents
1,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne24.0%-1.0
  • Linke17.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • CDU16.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others10.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jul 2019.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 24.0%, followed by Linke on 17.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 20 to 29 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jul 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.0 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +3.0average 21.0
  • Linke -2.0average 19.0
  • CDU -2.0average 18.0
  • FDP -1.5average 7.5
  • SPD +0.5average 15.5
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 35 seatsLinke: 24 seatsSPD: 23 seatsCDU: 23 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne35
  • Linke24
  • SPD23
  • CDU23
  • AfD16
  • FDP9
  • Grüne + Linke + SPD82 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + CDU82 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + CDU81 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD75 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD74 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + CDU70 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + FDP68 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP67 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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