Forsa poll of 29 July 2019 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 25 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne25.0%±0
- Linke18.0%+1.0
- CDU17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jul 2019.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 17 to 25 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jul 2019, FDP loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.0 points higher and FDP 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.0average 21.0
- FDP -2.5average 7.5
- Linke -1.0average 19.0
- CDU -1.0average 18.0
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne36
- Linke26
- CDU24
- SPD23
- AfD14
- FDP7
- Grüne + Linke + CDU86 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD85 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD83 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD76 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD73 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD73 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP69 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP67 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.