Forsa poll of 1 July 2019 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 27 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne25.0%-1.0
- Linke17.0%±0
- CDU17.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Jun 2019.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by Linke on 17.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 17 to 27 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Jun 2019, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.0 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.0average 21.0
- Linke -2.0average 19.0
- CDU -1.0average 18.0
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- FDP -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne36
- Linke24
- CDU24
- SPD22
- AfD14
- FDP10
- Grüne + Linke + CDU84 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD82 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD82 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP70 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP70 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD70 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.