Forsa poll of 4 April 2019 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 28 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne25.0%+3.0
- Linke18.0%±0
- CDU18.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Mar 2019.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 19 to 28 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Mar 2019, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.7 points lower and Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.7average 12.7
- Grüne +1.8average 23.2
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- Linke +0.4average 17.6
- CDU +0.3average 17.7
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne34
- Linke25
- CDU25
- SPD21
- AfD14
- FDP11
- Grüne + Linke + CDU84 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD80 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD80 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD73 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD73 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD71 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP70 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP70 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD69 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.