Single poll

Forsa poll of 26 April 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
16 to 25 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,005
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne25.0%±0
  • Linke18.0%±0
  • CDU17.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2019.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 16 to 25 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2019, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +3.1average 21.9
  • CDU -1.1average 18.1
  • Linke -0.9average 18.9
  • SPD +0.7average 15.3
  • FDP -0.7average 7.7
  • AfD -0.6average 11.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 35 seatsLinke: 25 seatsCDU: 23 seatsSPD: 22 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne35
  • Linke25
  • CDU23
  • SPD22
  • AfD15
  • FDP10
  • Grüne + Linke + CDU83 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + SPD82 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD80 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD75 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD73 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + FDP70 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + SPD70 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP68 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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