Single poll

Forsa poll of 5 March 2019 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
20 to 28 Feb 2019
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne22.0%+1.0
  • CDU20.0%+1.0
  • Linke18.0%-2.0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Feb 2019.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 20 to 28 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Feb 2019, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 2.3 points higher and SPD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.3average 17.7
  • SPD +1.8average 15.2
  • AfD -1.7average 12.7
  • Grüne -1.2average 23.2
  • Linke +0.4average 17.6
  • FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Grüne: 30 seatsCDU: 27 seatsLinke: 25 seatsSPD: 23 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Grüne30
  • CDU27
  • Linke25
  • SPD23
  • AfD15
  • FDP10
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke82 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + SPD80 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + SPD78 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + SPD75 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD72 of 130
  • Grüne + Linke + AfD70 of 130
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD68 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP67 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.