Forsa poll of 5 February 2019 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 31 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- Linke20.0%+2.0
- CDU19.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 21.0%, followed by Linke on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 22 to 31 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jan 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 2.4 points higher and Grüne 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.4average 17.6
- Grüne -2.2average 23.2
- AfD -1.7average 12.7
- CDU +1.3average 17.7
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne29
- Linke27
- CDU26
- SPD22
- AfD15
- FDP11
- Grüne + Linke + CDU82 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD78 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD77 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD75 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD71 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD70 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP67 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP66 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.