Forsa poll of 1 January 2019 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 19 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,009
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne23.0%±0
- Linke18.0%±0
- CDU17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Dec 2018.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 23.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 11 to 19 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Dec 2018, CDU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -0.7average 17.7
- Linke +0.4average 17.6
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- Grüne -0.2average 23.2
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne32
- Linke25
- CDU24
- SPD21
- AfD18
- FDP10
- Grüne + Linke + CDU81 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD78 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD77 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD75 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD70 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP67 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD67 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.