Forsa poll of 6 December 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 29 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne23.0%+5.0
- Linke18.0%-4.0
- CDU18.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 23.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 19 to 29 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 5.0 points, Linke loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 21.3
- SPD -1.2average 16.2
- AfD -0.5average 13.5
- CDU +0.4average 17.6
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- Linke +0.3average 17.7
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne32
- Linke25
- CDU25
- SPD21
- AfD18
- FDP9
- Grüne + Linke + CDU82 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD78 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD78 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD75 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD75 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD71 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP66 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.