Forsa poll of 1 October 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 27 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- Linke22.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- CDU17.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forsa has Linke ahead on 22.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 19 to 27 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Sep 2018, CDU loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 4.4 points higher and CDU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +4.4average 17.6
- CDU -1.5average 18.5
- SPD -1.3average 17.3
- AfD -0.3average 13.3
- Grüne ±0average 18.0
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke31
- Grüne25
- CDU24
- SPD22
- AfD18
- FDP10
- Linke + Grüne + CDU80 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD78 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD77 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD73 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD71 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD67 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.