Forsa poll of 1 July 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 28 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,009
- Method
- Unbekannt
- Linke21.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- CDU18.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jun 2018.
In this poll Forsa has Linke ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 20 to 28 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jun 2018, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.1average 20.1
- Linke +1.1average 19.9
- SPD +1.1average 17.9
- AfD -1.0average 12.0
- FDP +0.7average 7.3
- Grüne -0.5average 16.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke29
- SPD27
- CDU25
- Grüne22
- AfD16
- FDP11
- Linke + SPD + CDU81 of 130
- Linke + SPD + Grüne78 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne76 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Grüne74 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD72 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD70 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- Linke + SPD + FDP67 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.