Forsa poll of 1 June 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 31 May 2018
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
- Linke20.0%+1.0
- CDU19.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 May 2018.
In this poll Forsa has Linke ahead on 20.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 22 to 31 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 May 2018, Linke gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 16.5
- CDU -1.1average 20.1
- AfD -1.0average 12.0
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
- Linke +0.1average 19.9
- SPD +0.1average 17.9
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke28
- CDU27
- SPD25
- Grüne25
- AfD15
- FDP10
- Linke + CDU + SPD80 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne80 of 130
- Linke + SPD + Grüne78 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne77 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD70 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD68 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD68 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD67 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.