Forsa poll of 4 May 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 26 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- Linke19.0%+1.0
- CDU19.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Apr 2018.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 19.0%, followed by Linke on 19.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 17 to 26 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Apr 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 16.5
- CDU -1.3average 20.3
- AfD -1.1average 12.1
- Linke +0.5average 18.5
- FDP -0.4average 7.4
- SPD +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD27
- Linke27
- CDU26
- Grüne25
- AfD15
- FDP10
- SPD + Linke + CDU80 of 130
- SPD + Linke + Grüne79 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Grüne78 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne78 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD69 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.