Forsa poll of 31 July 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Berliner Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 26 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,009
- Method
- Unbekannt
- Linke21.0%±0
- CDU19.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jul 2018.
In this poll Forsa has Linke ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 16 to 26 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jul 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.8average 19.2
- CDU -0.8average 19.8
- AfD +0.7average 12.3
- SPD -0.2average 17.2
- Grüne +0.2average 16.8
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke29
- CDU26
- SPD24
- Grüne23
- AfD18
- FDP10
- Linke + CDU + SPD79 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne78 of 130
- Linke + SPD + Grüne76 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD73 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne73 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD70 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD68 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.