Single poll

Forsa poll of 1 November 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
17 to 26 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,011
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU20.0%+1.0
  • SPD19.0%+1.0
  • Linke18.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Oct 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 20.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 17 to 26 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Oct 2017, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 2.6 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.6average 22.6
  • AfD +1.6average 9.4
  • FDP +1.2average 7.8
  • Linke -1.1average 19.1
  • SPD -0.8average 19.8
  • Grüne -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 28 seatsSPD: 27 seatsLinke: 26 seatsGrüne: 20 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 13 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU28
  • SPD27
  • Linke26
  • Grüne20
  • AfD16
  • FDP13
  • CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne75 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne74 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne73 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD70 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD69 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP68 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP67 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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