Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 October 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
26 Sep 2017 to 5 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,002
Method
Unbekannt
  • Linke19.0%+2.0
  • CDU19.0%-2.0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%+2.0
  • FDP9.0%-2.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Sep 2017.

In this poll Forsa has Linke ahead on 19.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 26 Sep 2017 to 5 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Sep 2017, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 4.8 points lower and SPD 2.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -4.8average 23.8
  • SPD -2.8average 20.8
  • Grüne +2.5average 12.5
  • AfD +2.1average 8.9
  • FDP +1.1average 7.9
  • Linke +0.6average 18.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Linke: 27 seatsCDU: 27 seatsSPD: 26 seatsGrüne: 21 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 13 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Linke27
  • CDU27
  • SPD26
  • Grüne21
  • AfD16
  • FDP13
  • Linke + CDU + SPD80 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne75 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + Grüne74 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne74 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + AfD70 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + AfD69 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + FDP67 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + FDP66 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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