Single poll

Forsa poll of 3 September 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
22 to 30 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,005
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU21.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • Linke17.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+2.0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Aug 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 22 to 30 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Aug 2017, FDP gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 3.3 points lower and FDP 2.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.3average 24.3
  • FDP +2.6average 8.4
  • SPD -2.3average 21.3
  • Grüne +2.0average 12.0
  • Linke -0.4average 17.4
  • AfD +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 30 seatsSPD: 27 seatsLinke: 24 seatsGrüne: 20 seatsFDP: 16 seatsAfD: 13 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU30
  • SPD27
  • Linke24
  • Grüne20
  • FDP16
  • AfD13
  • CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne77 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne74 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP73 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne71 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD70 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP70 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP67 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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