Single poll

Forsa poll of 1 August 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
18 to 27 Jul 2017
Respondents
1,007
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU22.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • Linke18.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Jul 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 18 to 27 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Jul 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 2.3 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.3average 24.3
  • Grüne +2.0average 12.0
  • SPD -1.3average 21.3
  • AfD -0.9average 8.9
  • Linke +0.6average 17.4
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 31 seatsSPD: 29 seatsLinke: 26 seatsGrüne: 20 seatsFDP: 13 seatsAfD: 11 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU31
  • SPD29
  • Linke26
  • Grüne20
  • FDP13
  • AfD11
  • CDU + SPD + Linke86 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne80 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne77 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne75 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP73 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP70 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD68 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP68 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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