Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 July 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
22 to 29 Jun 2017
Respondents
1,003
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU22.0%-1.0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • Linke17.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 May 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 May 2017, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.4 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.4average 11.6
  • AfD -1.5average 9.5
  • FDP +1.4average 7.6
  • CDU -1.3average 23.3
  • SPD -0.7average 21.7
  • Linke -0.1average 17.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 31 seatsSPD: 30 seatsLinke: 24 seatsGrüne: 20 seatsFDP: 13 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU31
  • SPD30
  • Linke24
  • Grüne20
  • FDP13
  • AfD12
  • CDU + SPD + Linke85 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne81 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne75 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP74 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne74 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD73 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP68 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP67 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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