Single poll

Forsa poll of 30 May 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
16 to 24 May 2017
Respondents
1,001
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU23.0%+3.0
  • SPD22.0%-2.0
  • Linke16.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Others10.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 16 to 24 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2017, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.6average 24.6
  • AfD -1.3average 9.3
  • CDU +0.8average 22.2
  • Grüne +0.8average 12.2
  • Linke -0.6average 16.6
  • FDP +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 33 seatsSPD: 32 seatsLinke: 23 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsFDP: 12 seatsAfD: 11 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU33
  • SPD32
  • Linke23
  • Grüne19
  • FDP12
  • AfD11
  • CDU + SPD + Linke88 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne84 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP77 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD76 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne75 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne74 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP68 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP67 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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