Single poll

Forsa poll of 3 May 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
19 to 27 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,002
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • CDU20.0%±0
  • Linke16.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Others11.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 19 to 27 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Apr 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.6average 13.6
  • AfD -1.0average 10.0
  • SPD -0.9average 24.9
  • CDU +0.4average 19.6
  • FDP +0.3average 7.7
  • Linke -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 35 seatsCDU: 29 seatsLinke: 23 seatsGrüne: 18 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • SPD35
  • CDU29
  • Linke23
  • Grüne18
  • AfD13
  • FDP12
  • SPD + CDU + Linke87 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne82 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + AfD77 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + FDP76 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne76 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD71 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP70 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne70 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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