Single poll

Forsa poll of 26 November 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Berliner Zeitung
Fieldwork period
13 to 23 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,002
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU21.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • Linke18.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Nov 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 13 to 23 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Berliner Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Nov 2017, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.9 points higher and SPD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.9average 14.1
  • SPD -1.8average 19.8
  • CDU -1.6average 22.6
  • AfD +1.6average 9.4
  • Linke -1.1average 19.1
  • FDP +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 30 seatsSPD: 25 seatsLinke: 25 seatsGrüne: 23 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 11 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU30
  • SPD25
  • Linke25
  • Grüne23
  • AfD16
  • FDP11
  • CDU + SPD + Linke80 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne78 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne78 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne73 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD71 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP66 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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