Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 October 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 5 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,209
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,209 people were surveyed from 4 to 5 Oct 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Sep 2023, CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.3average 14.7
- Freie Wähler -0.8average 15.8
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- CSU +0.2average 36.8
- AfD +0.2average 13.8
- SPD +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU73
- Grüne31
- Freie Wähler30
- AfD28
- SPD18
- CSU + Grüne104 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler103 of 180
- CSU + AfD101 of 180
- CSU + SPD91 of 180
More
More polls
← Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 29 Sep 2023Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.