Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 September 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 19 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,114
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU35.0%
- Grüne18.0%
- SPD13.0%
- Freie Wähler11.0%
- AfD10.0%
- FDP5.0%
- Linke4.0%
- Others4.0%
35.0%
CSU
18.0%
Grüne
13.0%
SPD
11.0%
Freie Wähler
10.0%
AfD
5.0%
FDP
4.0%
Linke
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,114 people were surveyed from 17 to 19 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 3.1 points lower and Freie Wähler 2.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.1average 13.1
- Freie Wähler +2.6average 8.4
- Grüne +1.7average 16.3
- CSU -1.0average 36.0
- SPD +1.0average 12.0
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- Linke +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU68
- Grüne35
- SPD25
- Freie Wähler22
- AfD20
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne103 of 180
- CSU + SPD93 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + AfD110 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP100 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP98 of 180
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.