Single poll
Civey poll of 18 August 2025 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jul 2025 to 14 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 5,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 5,000 people were surveyed from 30 Jul 2025 to 14 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Jul 2025, CSU gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 7.0 points higher and Freie Wähler 3.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +7.0average 13.0
- Freie Wähler -3.0average 12.0
- CSU -1.0average 42.0
- Grüne +0.5average 12.5
- SPD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU81
- AfD39
- Grüne26
- Freie Wähler18
- SPD16
- CSU + AfD120 of 180
- CSU + Grüne107 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler99 of 180
- CSU + SPD97 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 14 Jul 2025Civey, 13 Sep 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.