INSA poll of 22 April 2020 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 20 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 1,523
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU31.0%+4.0
- Grüne29.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%+2.0
- AfD11.0%-2.0
- FDP7.0%-2.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Oct 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 29.0%. 1,523 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Apr 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Oct 2019, CDU gains 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 8.0 points higher and Grüne 7.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +8.0average 23.0
- Grüne -7.0average 36.0
- AfD -3.0average 14.0
- SPD +2.0average 11.0
- Linke -1.0average 5.0
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU41
- Grüne38
- SPD17
- AfD15
- FDP9
- CDU + Grüne79 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD73 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD70 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP67 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP65 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP64 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.