INSA poll of 30 October 2019 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 28 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,036
- Method
- Online
- Grüne30.0%+2.0
- CDU27.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- SPD11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2019.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,036 people were surveyed from 23 to 28 Oct 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 8.0 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -8.0average 38.0
- SPD +3.0average 8.0
- CDU +1.0average 26.0
- AfD +1.0average 12.0
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- Linke +1.0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne40
- CDU36
- AfD17
- SPD15
- FDP12
- Grüne + CDU76 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD72 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP69 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD68 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP67 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP63 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.