INSA poll of 10 May 2019 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 8 May 2019
- Respondents
- 1,040
- Method
- Online
- Grüne28.0%-1.0
- CDU27.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- SPD11.0%-2.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Feb 2019.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Feb 2019, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 4.5 points lower and CDU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.5average 32.5
- CDU +1.5average 25.5
- FDP +1.0average 9.0
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
- SPD +0.5average 10.5
- AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne36
- CDU34
- AfD15
- SPD14
- FDP13
- Linke8
- Grüne + CDU70 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP64 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP63 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD63 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP62 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.