INSA poll of 15 February 2019 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 12 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Grüne29.0%+2.0
- CDU27.0%+2.0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-6.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2018.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 7 to 12 Feb 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2018, AfD loses 6.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 4.0 points lower and CDU 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.0average 33.0
- CDU +4.0average 23.0
- SPD +4.0average 9.0
- AfD -1.0average 13.0
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne37
- CDU34
- SPD17
- AfD15
- FDP11
- Linke6
- Grüne + CDU71 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD69 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD66 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP63 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.