Single poll

INSA poll of 12 September 2018 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
1 to 6 Sep 2018
Respondents
1,046
Method
Unbekannt
  • Grüne27.0%
  • CDU25.0%
  • AfD18.0%
  • SPD12.0%
  • FDP9.0%
  • Linke5.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,046 people were surveyed from 1 to 6 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.0average 28.0
  • AfD +3.0average 15.0
  • Grüne -2.0average 29.0
  • FDP +2.0average 7.0
  • Linke -2.0average 7.0
  • SPD +1.0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 34 seatsCDU: 31 seatsAfD: 23 seatsSPD: 15 seatsFDP: 11 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne34
  • CDU31
  • AfD23
  • SPD15
  • FDP11
  • Linke6
  • Grüne + CDU65 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD72 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + SPD69 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP68 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP65 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + Linke63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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