Single poll

INSA poll of 10 September 2020 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
2 to 7 Sep 2020
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • Grüne28.0%-1.0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Apr 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 7 Sep 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Apr 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 6.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -6.0average 34.0
  • Linke +2.0average 3.0
  • CDU +1.0average 30.0
  • SPD +1.0average 11.0
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
  • AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 39 seatsGrüne: 36 seatsSPD: 15 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 9 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU39
  • Grüne36
  • SPD15
  • AfD15
  • FDP9
  • Linke6
  • CDU + Grüne75 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD66 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP63 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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