Saxony-Anhalt state election 2021: the result
In the Saxony-Anhalt state election on 6 June 2021, CDU became the largest party with 37.1%, 16.3 points ahead of AfD (20.8%).
- Failed to clear the thresholdFreie Wähler (3.1%)
- Polls one week beforeoff by 3.0 points per party on average, CDU underestimated by 9.8
- Statusofficial final result
Result of the 2021 state election
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
- CDU37.1%
- AfD20.8%
- Linke11.0%
- SPD8.4%
- FDP6.4%
- Grüne5.9%
- Freie Wähler3.1%
- Others7.3%
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
| Party | 2021 | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 37.1% | 34 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 20.8% | 19 |
| Die Linke | 11.0% | 10 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 8.4% | 8 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 6.4% | 6 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 5.9% | 6 |
| Freie Wähler | 3.1% | – |
| Others | 7.3% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Hare/Niemeyer on 83 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt after the 2021 result
83 regular seats by Hare/Niemeyer. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- CDU34
- AfD19
- Linke10
- SPD8
- FDP6
- Grüne6
Which alliances had a majority after the 2021 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- CDU + AfD53 of 83
- CDU + Linke44 of 83
- CDU + SPD42 of 83
- CDU + FDP + Grüne46 of 83
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2021 state election
6 polls between 26 May 2021 and 4 Jun 2021, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | Linke | SPD | FDP | Grüne | Freie Wähler |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 4 Jun 2021 | 27 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3 Jun 2021 | 30 | 23 | 11.5 | 10 | 6.5 | 9 | 3 |
| Civey | 3 Jun 2021 | 29 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28 May 2021 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 May 2021 | 28 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 26 May 2021 | 25 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 11 | – |
Who came closest before the 2021 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | AfD | Linke | SPD | FDP | Grüne | Freie Wähler | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 6 Jun 2021 | 37.1% | 20.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3 Jun 2021 (3 days before) | -7.1 | +2.2 | +0.5 | +1.6 | +0.1 | +3.1 | -0.1 | 2.1 |
| INSA | 4 Jun 2021 (2 days before) | -10.1 | +5.2 | +1.0 | +1.6 | +0.6 | +2.1 | -0.1 | 3.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 May 2021 (10 days before) | -9.1 | +3.2 | -1.0 | +2.6 | +1.6 | +3.1 | -0.1 | 3.0 |
| Civey | 3 Jun 2021 (3 days before) | -8.1 | +7.2 | -1.0 | +1.6 | -0.4 | +2.1 | – | 3.4 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.