Constituency 40 Nienburg II – Schaumburg: the result
In the federal election on 23 February 2025, the constituency seat in constituency 40 Nienburg II – Schaumburg went to SPD with 31.7% of the first votes, 3.1 points ahead of CDU (28.6%).
- Second votes: leading
- CDU 27.4%
- Biggest move since 2021
- AfD +11.8 · SPD −10.6
- Turnout
- 82.5% · 2021: 73.7%
- Voters
- 157,513 of 191,029 eligible voters
- State
- Lower Saxony
Second votes compared with 2021
Shares in percent, change from the 2021 federal election in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
Where do these figures come from?
Official results of the 2025 federal election published by the Federal Returning Officer (kerg2.csv), second votes per constituency, compared with the 2021 result in the same area boundaries.
What does the comparison show?
The lighter bar is the state result of the same election, so you can see where the area differs from its state. Differences are in percentage points.
If the election were held today
The current national polling average (as of 7 Nov 2026) applied to this constituency. A rough estimate, not a forecast for individual candidates.
First votes: AfD ahead with 28.1%, a margin of 0.6 points over SPD. The constituency would switch from SPD to AfD. The margin lies within the usual polling error, the constituency is close.
First votes and constituency seat
Since the 2025 electoral reform, the candidate with the most first votes only takes the seat if it is covered by their party's second-vote result in the state.
| Party | Votes | 2025 | 2021 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPDConstituency seat | 49,658 | 31.7% | 35.3% | -3.6 |
| CDU | 44,793 | 28.6% | 30.9% | -2.3 |
| AfD | 31,470 | 20.1% | 8.3% | +11.8 |
| Grüne | 11,725 | 7.5% | 12.8% | -5.3 |
| Linke | 8,669 | 5.5% | 2.2% | +3.3 |
| FDP | 4,384 | 2.8% | 6.2% | -3.4 |
| Freie Wähler | 2,635 | 1.7% | 1.2% | +0.5 |
| Die PARTEI | 1,651 | 1.1% | – | – |
| Volt | 1,015 | 0.6% | – | – |
Candidates and members for this constituency
People with a 2025 candidacy or a mandate for this constituency, with their first-vote share.
Where constituency 40 lies in Lower Saxony
Constituency 40 in colour with the first-vote share of the constituency seat, the state's other constituencies in grey. Tap to open a constituency.
The 60 municipalities in constituency 40
Sorted by number of voters, each with its own second-vote result. Districts: Nienburg (Weser), Schaumburg.
- Nienburg (Weser)SPD 24.1%
- RintelnCDU 26.4%
- BückeburgCDU 27.1%
- StadthagenSPD 26.9%
- Rehburg-LoccumCDU 27.2%
- ObernkirchenSPD 26.2%
- Bad NenndorfCDU 28.8%
- AuetalAfD 26.9%
- Steyerberg, FleckenCDU 30.0%
- StolzenauAfD 31.3%
- RodenbergCDU 27.2%
- MarkloheCDU 29.7%
- NienstädtCDU 27.0%
- Hagenburg, FleckenCDU 29.5%
- Lauenau, FleckenCDU 29.4%
- LindhorstSPD 26.8%
- Liebenau, FleckenCDU 28.2%
- HasteCDU 28.5%
- RodewaldCDU 30.1%
- ApelernCDU 25.8%
- HohnhorstCDU 28.7%
- SteimbkeCDU 28.2%
- LandesbergenCDU 29.5%
- HusumCDU 29.1%
- WietzenCDU 30.3%
- SachsenhagenCDU 26.3%
- HespeCDU 26.9%
- NiedernwöhrenCDU 29.7%
- MeerbeckCDU 27.3%
- Bad EilsenCDU 27.0%
- Drakenburg, FleckenCDU 28.5%
- HeemsenAfD 29.6%
- HelpsenSPD 26.2%
- BalgeSPD 29.7%
- EstorfSPD 26.7%
- HaßbergenAfD 33.0%
The 36 largest of 60 municipalities; all of them via the district pages.
Neighbours and context
Source: Federal Returning Officer, results by constituency, federal election of 23 February 2025, final (as of 14 March 2025), Data licence Germany, attribution 2.0.. Compiled by wahlergebnisse.io.